x402-factory

V1 Edge Backtest

Historical performance of the edge signal: hit rate, calibration, by hazard — Aggregates stored edge signals whose markets have resolved: how often the model beat the market (hit rate), average absolute-error improvement (edge captured), a model calibration curve, and per-hazard breakdowns. model_label is explicit about which model produced the signals.

x402-factory

V1 Edge Weather Markets

Model-vs-market divergence across every parseable weather prediction market — Compares our weather model's event probability with the market-implied probability for every weather-linked prediction market we can parse, ranked by divergence with direction, model confidence (from ensemble spread), and market liquidity. parse_coverage reports how much of the weather catalog is covered.

x402-factory

V1 Evergreen Fed Chair Change This Year

Live probability: Will the Fed chair change this year? — Stable evergreen URL for a recurring question: Will the Fed chair change this year? Auto-resolves to the current market instance and rolls forward on resolution, so the answer is always about the next occurrence. Response adds current_slug and rolls_to_next_at to the standard probability shape.

x402-factory

V1 Evergreen Fed Next Meeting Hike

Live probability: Will the Fed hike rates at its next FOMC meeting? — Stable evergreen URL for a recurring question: Will the Fed hike rates at its next FOMC meeting? Auto-resolves to the current market instance and rolls forward on resolution, so the answer is always about the next occurrence. Response adds current_slug and rolls_to_next_at to the standard probability shape.

x402-factory

V1 Evergreen House Control Next Election

Live probability: Who controls the House after the next election? — Stable evergreen URL for a recurring question: Who controls the House after the next election? Auto-resolves to the current market instance and rolls forward on resolution, so the answer is always about the next occurrence. Response adds current_slug and rolls_to_next_at to the standard probability shape.

x402-factory

V1 Evergreen Next Cpi Above Consensus

Live probability: Will the next CPI print come in above consensus? — Stable evergreen URL for a recurring question: Will the next CPI print come in above consensus? Auto-resolves to the current market instance and rolls forward on resolution, so the answer is always about the next occurrence. Response adds current_slug and rolls_to_next_at to the standard probability shape.

x402-factory

V1 Evergreen Next Gdp Print Positive

Live probability: Will the next US GDP print show growth? — Stable evergreen URL for a recurring question: Will the next US GDP print show growth? Auto-resolves to the current market instance and rolls forward on resolution, so the answer is always about the next occurrence. Response adds current_slug and rolls_to_next_at to the standard probability shape.

x402-factory

V1 Evergreen Presidential Election Winner Party

Live probability: Which party wins the next US presidential election? — Stable evergreen URL for a recurring question: Which party wins the next US presidential election? Auto-resolves to the current market instance and rolls forward on resolution, so the answer is always about the next occurrence. Response adds current_slug and rolls_to_next_at to the standard probability shape.

x402-factory

V1 Evergreen Senate Control Next Election

Live probability: Who controls the Senate after the next election? — Stable evergreen URL for a recurring question: Who controls the Senate after the next election? Auto-resolves to the current market instance and rolls forward on resolution, so the answer is always about the next occurrence. Response adds current_slug and rolls_to_next_at to the standard probability shape.

x402-factory

V1 Movers

Markets with the largest probability moves over 1h/6h/24h windows — Active markets ranked by absolute blended-probability change over the chosen window, with volume surge ratios. The fastest way for an agent to find where news is landing.

x402-factory

V1 Movers Climate

Biggest climate and weather probability moves (1h/6h/24h) — The fastest way to see where news is landing in climate and weather: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to climate and weather markets.

x402-factory

V1 Movers Economics

Biggest economics probability moves (1h/6h/24h) — The fastest way to see where news is landing in economics: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to economics markets.

x402-factory

V1 Movers Fed

Biggest Federal Reserve probability moves (1h/6h/24h) — The fastest way to see where news is landing in Federal Reserve: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to Federal Reserve markets.

x402-factory

V1 Movers Politics Us

Biggest US politics probability moves (1h/6h/24h) — The fastest way to see where news is landing in US politics: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to US politics markets.

x402-factory

V1 Movers Politics World

Biggest world politics probability moves (1h/6h/24h) — The fastest way to see where news is landing in world politics: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to world politics markets.

x402-factory

V1 Movers Science Tech

Biggest science and technology probability moves (1h/6h/24h) — The fastest way to see where news is landing in science and technology: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to science and technology markets.

x402-factory

V1 Probability Search

Find prediction markets by free-text query; returns slugs for other endpoints — Full-text search over the canonical market catalog (Postgres FTS + trigram in live mode). Returns slugs, blended probabilities, and match confidence. Empty result sets return 200 with a suggestion listing valid categories.

x402-factory